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- Bets Dressed - Week 6 - Uniform Matchups and Picks
Bets Dressed - Week 6 - Uniform Matchups and Picks
We have arrived at the Week 6 main slate. A much needed palette cleanser to erase the memory of Thursday Night Football between the Commanders and Bears. A game so bad (and so rough on the eyes) it's amazing both teams weren't credited with a loss.
But I digress. I'm loving the board today. Let's dive in.
A quick note on methodology.
As always, I’m analyzing every NFL uniform matchup and picking a winner against the spread based on who dresses best. And just because a team’s wardrobe is ranked higher in the Power Rankings doesn’t mean that it will automatically win the uniform matchup. It’s what you wear in the instant matchup that counts.
I’ll also be crowning the best matchup of the week and shaming the worst matchup of the week. It’s the over for the sharpest matchup and the under for the dullest.
And don’t forget the Triple Mismatch Club. I’m making three units plays whenever the best dressed team in the matchup is a member of the Club (different colored helmet, jersey, and pants). And nine units plays if both members of the week’s best matchup are members.
Keep an eye out for a “NOTE” here and there where teams have not fully unveiled what they will be wearing before the writing of this issue. I’ll make my best guess as to their outfit, and it won’t affect my ability to pick a winner. I’ll also try to update after the fact if possible so each weekly issue can be a reference point for what a team wore on a given week.
Week 6 Uniform Matchups and Picks.
Party like it's Super Bowl XXXV. If the Giants were wearing gray pants, we'd have an exact replica of the Super Bowl uniform matchup from the 2000 season. I could go either way on this one. Two sharp looks. But I'm giving the edge to the Giants home blues over the Ravens away whites.
The Giants are my favorite story of the season so far. It warms my heart to see Saquon back in form, and Brian Daboll has been a revelation as head coach. The Daboll-Kafka-Martindale head coach/coordinator trifecta is the best in the league this season. They're out-scheming their opponents despite having less talent. But the Ravens are the best team they've faced all season. Let's see if Wink Martindale learned how to slow down Lamar Jackson after all those years coaching against him in Ravens practice.
The Pick: Giants +5.5 (-105)
Bengals in white and Saints in black. Our yin and yang matchup of the week. I'm very pleased to see the return of the Bengals icy whites. I was worried they'd save white on white exclusively for the white helmets. But this is my favorite icy white look in the league because of that pop of orange. The Saints unitards continue to disappoint. I will never understand why New Orleans features that look more frequently than black over gold. Bengals are the easy pick here.
With both teams at 2-3, the loser is in danger of falling behind in the playoff hunt. All three of the Bengals losses this season have come on walk-off field goals. They don't look like a 2-3 team, but there is no denying that they are out-coached* on a week to week basis. It's never easy getting a win in New Orleans. But this is a literal homecoming for Ja'Marr Chase of Harvey, Louisiana (and a figurative homecoming for him and Burrow as former LSU greats). The Bengals will need a big game from their young stars to claw back to .500.
*This does not include defensive coordinator Lou Anarumo, who has been the saving grace of this team going back to last year's Super Bowl run.
The Pick: Bengals -3 (-105)
I'm really digging this uniform matchup. The brown over white outfit is my favorite of the Browns. And the Patriots primary road uniform is far superior to the home navy unitards. Until the Patriots bring out the gray pants, this is the best we can hope for. Browns are the easy choice, but this is a strong one overall. It's always fun when both teams are Triple Mismatch Club members.
If you appreciate the running game as much as I do, this one is going to be a delight. Nick Chubb has been the best pure runner in football this year. And Rhamondre Stevenson is a rising star. Quarterback duels are fine, but running back duels are where it's at. While the rest of the NFL world fawns all over Allen-Mahomes, I'll be thinking about Stevenson-Chubb.
The Pick: Browns -2.5 (-110)
Triple Mismatch Club 3x Play
Jaguars-Colts Part II of 2022. Hard to believe that this will be the fourth divisional matchup for the Colts in only six games. Seems like an odd NFL scheduling decision. This was an easy uniform decision the first time these teams met. Even easier here. The Colts are head and shoulders above the wardrobes of the other AFC South squads. Let's hope there are some redesigns in the near future to narrow the gap.
The Jaguars impressed through the first four weeks of the season but came crashing back to Earth while laying an egg at home against the lowly Texans. The Colts have looked off all season but are positioned nicely at 2-2-1 in the weakest division in football. I like the Colts to avoid the season sweep against Trevor Lawrence and Co.
The Pick: Colts -1.5 (-110)
Buccaneers at Steelers. A sharp and well-balanced uniform matchup. This one made the shortlist for best matchup of the week. I could go either way on this one, but i give the slightest of edges to the Bucs. I have one nit to pick with the Steelers, and it's that number font.
A tale of two teams moving in opposite directions. The Bucs are bona fide Super Bowl contenders and a strong favorite to win the NFC South. The Steelers are in free fall and nothing more than a miracle long shot to come back into the AFC North picture. The Steelers were run over last week by the Mack truck that is the Buffalo Bills. But Pittsburgh looked checked out early. The most striking play to me was when Kenny Pickett was roughed up a bit by Damar Hamlin. James Daniels was the only Steelers player (and more importantly offensive lineman) that came to Pickett's defense. Meanwhile, the entire Bills sideline swarmed to the defense of Hamlin. A telling moment. Until I see any sign of fight from the Steelers, I'll be glad when the uniform gods steer me to the opposing side.
The Pick: Buccaneers -10 (-105)
The Vikings travel to take on the Dolphins in a rematch of Super Bowl VIII.* I'm going to be honest, this one has me a bit perplexed. I'm not a big fan of either outfit. Both the Vikings and Dolphins are in the "Wasted Talent" tier of the Power Rankings. But this uniform matchup isn't all that bad. The colors complement each other well. When it comes to the best between the two, I'm going with the Vikings.
A lot can happen in the NFL in three weeks. After Week 3, the Dolphins were riding high. Taking the league by storm. A surprise 3-0 after taking down the buzzsaw Bills. But heading into Week 6, the Dolphins have lost two in a row and are still fielding questions and criticism regarding their handling of the Tua concussion situation. And now they have to take on the 4-1 Vikings with a seventh-round rookie quarterback at the helm. Best of luck.
*Did anyone else watch old Super Bowl highlights over and over again as a kid? I have all of the matchups, scores, and big moments permanently affixed to my brain. Admittedly, Super Bowl VIII was pretty forgettable. But Larry Csonka was an absolute monster and a deserving Super Bowl MVP.
The Pick: Vikings -3 (-110)
Please make it stop. The Jets are nothing if not consistent, and their modus operandi continues. For the second time in the first six weeks of the season, they're wearing the same outfit three games in a row. And their current stretch happens to feature the worst uniform in their wardrobe. It'll be the end of October or later for the New York Jets to wear green jerseys. I'm not a huge fan of these Packers throwbacks. They're fine as a nod to the past but would look much better with yellow pants. Regardless, Packers are an easy pick here.
I'm glad to be on the Packers side in this one. This feels like a monster get-right spot. The Jets deserve some credit. They're 3-2 coming off a beatdown of the Dolphins (playing their third string rookie quarterback). However, I'm going to need to see a bit more before I start believing in the Jets as an actual playoff contender. A win over Aaron Rodgers would go a long way in that area, but I'm not going to hold my breath.
The Pick: Packers -7 (-115)
If it wasn't for the Thursday Night Football uniform train wreck between the Commanders and Bears, Cardinals at Seahawks would've been the likely choice for worst of the week. Whenever these two get together, the Panelist Era enjoys an ugly resurgence. Both of these teams are in desperate need of a redesign (and please leave all panels, striping, and piping behind). As bad as they both are, the Cardinals are clearly worse.
The NFC West as a whole has had a lot of twists and turns this season. The Cardinals seem like a mess and the Kyler/Kliff drama/speculation is always around the corner. The Seahawks have been an offensive surprise, and the Geno Smith resurgence is real. The Rams "F them picks" philosophy has come back to bite them on the offensive line. And the 49ers lost their young quarterback for the year but wisely (or luckily) held onto Jimmy G and feel like the best team in the Division (and maybe even the NFC). As for these two, winner keeps pace in the Division race, and loser moves closer to becoming an afterthought. In what feels like a pretty evenly matched affair, I'm glad to be on the home side.
The Pick: Seahawks +2.5 (-105)
NOTE - The Cardinals have yet to unveil their choice of pants.
Panthers at Rams. A tale of two wardrobes I'm higher on than most. The Panthers have a clean, sharp outfit in their whites. And the silver helmet works for me. The Rams still have the glaring flaw of the gradient numbers. But the color palette is one of the best in the league, and nobody's look improves more from the page to the screen. I can't deny that blue and gold, and the Rams are the choice here.
I need to start with a mea culpa. No one has been more wrong about anything in the fantasy space than I was about Cam Akers and Allen Robinson. I genuinely thought each had league winning potential. And boy was I wrong. With that said, I think the Rams offense gets right this week with the Panthers coming to town. The Panthers have given up the 7th most rushing yards in the NFL this season, and Darrell Henderson should feast as the true RB1 with Cam Akers bizarrely away from the team (and possibly on the trade and/or cut block). PJ Walker gets the nod for the Panthers, but it's hard to see him making much of a difference against Aaron Donald, Jalen Ramsey, and the Rams defense.
The Pick: Rams -9.5 (-115)
NOTE - Both teams have yet to unveil their choice of pants.
Is this the regular season game of the year? Many think so, and it's hard to disagree at this point. The rematch of the "13 seconds" playoff game is upon us. It looks like we may get an identical uniform matchup (depending on the Chiefs pants). If you've been following me for any period of time, you know that this is an easy choice for me. The Bills icy whites are among my favorite uniforms in the league. And while the Chiefs reds are undeniable classics, I'm a bit lower on them than most.
As for the game itself, I must admit I'm a bit surprised the Bills are favored here. While I think the Bills are the (slightly) better team, the home field advantage of Arrowhead Stadium counts for something. At the start of the season, I dubbed the MVP race as the Triumvirate (between Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, and Justin Herbert). But as we approach the one-third point of the season, it seems more and more like a two horse race between Mahomes and Allen.* The winner of this one can add a nice bullet point to the MVP resume. There's no denying the importance of this game to both teams, but the Bills have the Divisional loss burned into their brains. And they'll be out to avenge that loss from the jump.
*Don't write off Lamar Jackson or Jalen Hurts any time soon.
The Pick: Bills -2.5 (-105)
NOTE - The Chiefs have yet to unveil their choice of pants.
We're in for a treat on Sunday Night Football with the Cowboys and Eagles. This is undoubtedly the best uniform matchup we could ask for given the current wardrobes of both teams. But I would have loved to see the Eagles dip into the old bag of NFC East tricks and force the Cowboys to wear blue on the road. I can't really complain because it doesn't get much better than the classic Cowboys whites.
The Eagles are 5-0* and the last undefeated team in the NFL. And the 4-1 Cooper Rush Cowboys have been one of the best stories of the season (with all four wins coming with Rush under center). It doesn't get much better than an NFC East grudge match. And the matchup to watch in this one will be the Dallas defense led by Micah Parsons squaring off against the Philadelphia offense led by Jalen Hurts. Parsons is tied for the league lead in sacks through the first five weeks and is the current odds on favorite to win DPOY. Hurts is the skeleton key for the NFC's most prolific offense and is Top 3 in odds for both MVP and OPOY. The Cowboys haven't lost since Week 1, and the Eagles have yet to lose; something's got to give. Teams don't run the table in this league, and the Eagles may be due for that first loss.
*Don't look now, but the Eagles have yet to lose a game since adopting their new wordmark.
The Pick: Cowboys +6.5 (-110)
Triple Mismatch Club 3x Play
Not much to dwell on in the uniform matchup between the Broncos and Chargers. The Broncos road whites are almost completely devoid of orange and leave a lot to be desired. And the Chargers home powder blues are the kings of the hill. As easy as it gets: Chargers by a mile.
It'll be 11 days of rest since the Broncos embarrassed themselves on the streaming equivalent of national television last Thursday. Whether the mini bye was enough for Nathaniel Hackett and Russell Wilson to get their collective acts together will be revealed on Monday Night Football. From what we've seen so far this year, Denver fans shouldn't get their hopes up. Speaking of getting their acts together, someone in Los Angeles needs to take fourth down decision making away from Brandon Staley.* Some of the best games are ones where great quarterbacks go punch for punch like heavyweight fighters and last quarterback to "hold the pen" wins. This one will be more like last overmatched coach forced to make a critical decision loses.
*Staley's decision to go for it with a two-point lead on 4th and 2 with 1:13 remaining ON HIS OWN 46 YARD LINE was one of the worst coaching decisions I've ever seen in my life. Injured WR1 Keenan Allen tweeted in the moment "WTF are we doing?" If the analytics say go for it in that spot, the analytics are wrong. Of course they ran a passing play and of course they didn't get it. And the Browns were practically in range immediately for the game winning kick. To say Staley was bailed out when the Browns missed the game winner is the understatement of the year.
The Pick: Chargers -4.5 (-115)
Triple Mismatch Club 3x Play IF the Chargers wear yellow pants.
NOTE - The Chargers have yet to unveil their choice of pants.
Worst NFL Uniform Matchup of Week 6.
We already covered the worst of the week in the Thursday issue. Check out the full breakdown here.
The Pick: Under 38 (-110)
Best NFL Uniform Matchup of Week 6.
Let's hear a round of applause for the Falcons. The red throwback helmets are back.* Good things happen when you give the people what they want, and the Falcons land the best matchup of the week for the first time this season (and are the first team to be featured in a best and worst matchup). My love for the 49ers wardrobe is well known, and their primary white uniforms are a fantastic complement to the Falcons throwbacks.
Speaking of good things, great things have been happening to the teams that have delivered for their fanbases this season: Bengals white helmets (win); Giants blue throwbacks (win); and Patriots red throwbacks (win). Good things come in threes, and it's time to see if the Falcons can make that fours. It will be no small task. The 49ers have been rolling and boast one of the best defenses in the league. But the Falcons have been competitive all season - and surprisingly explosive offensively. For our purposes, we want points, points, and more points. Both the Niners and Falcons have playmakers with the potential** to go off at any time.
*Possibly controversial take: I've said it before, but I actually prefer the black helmet throwbacks. I especially love the black-white-gray road outfit from the 90s. With that said, there's no denying how glorious these red helmets look. The Falcons have the potential for a Top 10 uniform wardrobe. With a combination of red and black helmets; red, black, and white jerseys; and white and gray pants, they could reach true uniform nirvana.
**Emphasis on potential (cough, Kyle Pitts, cough).
The Pick: Over 44.5 (-110)
Triple Mismatch Club 3x Play
The Gridiron Uniform Database.
The uniform graphics you see here are courtesy of The Gridiron Uniform Database. If you’ve never paid their site a visit, stop what you’re doing right now and check it out. It is my favorite site on the Internet and an invaluable resource to uniform nerds and casual fans alike. This is especially the case during the season. I check the site multiple times a day to keep tabs on who’s wearing what.
Drop me a line.
You can always find me on Twitter at NFL Fashion Advice (@fashion_nfl) or via email at [email protected]. Come talk uniforms and all things football, and let me know what you think of the newsletter.
Coming Attractions.
Can't stop won't stop. We’ll be right back here in just a few days for Week 7 with the Thursday Night Football Uniform Matchup and some Single Digit Revolution fantasy plays.
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And always remember: Look Good. Feel Good. Pay Good.