Welcome to the Week 11 main slate edition of the Bets Dressed newsletter. I'm loving the board today. Some fantastic uniform matchups and football games on the docket for the weekend before Thanksgiving. Let's dive in.

A quick note on methodology.

As always, I’m analyzing every NFL uniform matchup and picking a winner against the spread based on who dresses best. And just because a team’s wardrobe is ranked higher in the Power Rankings doesn’t mean that it will automatically win the uniform matchup. It’s what you wear in the instant matchup that counts.

I’ll also be crowning the best matchup of the week and shaming the worst matchup of the week. It’s the over for the sharpest matchup and the under for the dullest.

And don’t forget the Triple Mismatch Club. I’m making three units plays whenever the best dressed team in the matchup is a member of the Club (different colored helmet, jersey, and pants). And nine units plays if both members of the week’s best matchup are members.

Keep an eye out for a “NOTE” here and there where teams have not fully unveiled what they will be wearing before the writing of this issue. I’ll make my best guess as to their outfit, and it won’t affect my ability to pick a winner. I’ll also try to update after the fact if possible so each weekly issue can be a reference point for what a team wore on a given week.

Week 11 Uniform Matchups and Picks.

Brace yourselves. The Falcons are breaking out one of the worst uniforms in all of professional sports. It's hard to fully articulate how terrible the gradient jersey is. Thank goodness for the Bears: their elite road outfit is the only thing saving this one from worst of the week. And Chicago may be the easiest pick of the week.

As gross as this uniform matchup is, I'm actually excited to watch this one. Justin Fields has been a revelation of late, and it's been truly enjoyable to watch him hit his stride. He still has a long way to go before he's the total package, but we're getting a glimpse of where his ceiling lies.* And more than anything, this version of Fields and the Bears has been a joy to watch. The Falcons have been an interesting watch in their own twisted way.**

*This year's post-bye Bears remind me of last year's post-bye Eagles.

**Arthur Smith may be the bane of every fantasy team manager's existence, and last week's rushing box score was the perfect example. The team put up a respectable 25 carries for 138 yards (at 5.5 yards per carry). Five different players got at least 3 carries with no one having more than 8. But the leading rusher had only 43 yards. And don't get me started on Kyle Pitts.

The Pick: Bears +3 (-115)

A tale of two Triple Mismatch Club members in this one. The Rams boast one of the best. But this Saints throwback may be the most off-putting Triple Mismatch Club outfit in the league. The black jersey sandwiched between the champagne gold and old gold just does not work. To make matters worse, this was such an unforced error. Instead of going with a black alternate helmet,* the Saints could've given the people what they wanted: an old gold helmet. I'm a big believer in "no half measures" when it comes to uniforms. And forcing the champagne gold and old gold into the same outfit is the definition of a half measure. If you're going to do something, go all the way and do it right. Or at least wear white pants and avoid the clash altogether.

Now that the Saints drew my uniform scorn above, it's time to share the hate with the Rams. I don't think we're talking enough about how disappointing the Rams have been this season. The defending Super Bowl champs are dead last in total offensive yards and bottom five in expected offensive points. And now they're without Cooper Kupp for the foreseeable future. They're lucky they took care of business last year, and I'm wondering if Sean McVay and Aaron Donald are regretting their decisions to return after an offseason filled with retirement speculation. It's now or never if they want to turn this season around, and the 3-7 Saints may be just what the doctor ordered.

*If you're going to force us to endure the black fleur-de-lis wrapping paper helmet, put it with this outfit and let us keep the fantastic icy white throwback.

The Pick: Rams +2.5 (-110)

Triple Mismatch Club 3x Play

It's deja vu all over again: the Buffalo blue unitards are back. The Bills quickly abandoned the blue-over-white uniform after last week's letdown against Minnesota. But more than that, they just can't quit this all-blue look. Thankfully the Browns are cleansing this matchup's pallet with the white-over-orange ensemble. Cleveland dressed for a game played to be the snow, and the Bills dressed for a game moved to the pristine conditions of a dome. There's something about the Bills mojo that feels off - both on the field and in their fashion sense. The Browns get the nod here.

Nobody circles the wagons flees to Detroit like the Buffalo Bills. Now that obviously isn't a fair statement; the decision to move the game out of Buffalo due to Thundersnowmageddon was an NFL one. But moving a game out of Orchard Park because of snow just feels like an affront to the football gods. The Bills are as pass-happy as it gets, so I guess the dome suits them. But the vibes in Buffalo are off, and the smashmouth Browns will run it down your throat outside or inside. As great as the Bills defense has been this season, they're in the bottom half of rushing yards per attempt allowed. I think Nick Chubb and the boys up front can make this one interesting.

The Pick: Browns +8 (-115)

Panthers at Ravens is a Bets Dressed special. I'm likely higher on both teams than the average person. So this uniform matchup is right up my alley. And dare I say, it should be up everyone's alley. These are two sharp outfits, and they complement each other quite well. I give the edge to the Ravens, but thumbs up all around.

Don't look now, but the Ravens are winners of three straight, 6-3 overall, mostly healthy, first place in the AFC North, and in prime position to make a run at the top spot in the AFC. The Chiefs, Bills, and Dolphins have been getting most of the headlines recently, but don't sleep on these Ravens. You probably can sleep on these Panthers, but they did have a nice win against the Falcons last week. D'Onta Foreman has been excellent since taking over the starting job at running back. But the Ravens are the third best run defense in the league by yards allowed. And Baltimore is an almost two touchdown favorite for a reason.

The Pick: Ravens -12.5 (-110)

Triple Mismatch Club 3x Play

NOTE - The Panthers have yet to unveil their choice of pants.

UPDATE - Black pants for the Panthers.

I like what I'm seeing here. The Colts can do no wrong in my eyes. And green pants are the best choice for an Eagles road outfit. Blue and midnight green aren't perfect complements by any means, but they play well off each other. This is a sneaky good uniform matchup, but the Colts are clearly the best dressed team in this one.

Pop that champagne, '72 Dolphins. The Eagles finally lost. Divisional matchups are always tricky, and the Commanders caught the Birds on a night where they just couldn't get things going consistently.* The Colts had the win of their season under the stewardship of surprise interim coach Jeff Saturday. But that was against the horrible** Raiders. Let's see what these Colts can do against the 8-1 Eagles.

*I'd be a little nervous in Philadelphia about my team's ability to play come-from-behind football. No group is better equipped to grind a game out with the lead. But can they close a gap or keep up in a shootout? Time will tell.

**Jeff Saturday's word. Not mine.

The Pick: Colts +7 (-115)

It's Week 11, and the New York Jets have still yet to wear green beneath the helmet. That's right folks, no green jersey or pants for the Jets so far this season. At this point, I'm genuinely impressed by their commitment to the bit.* Almost anyone will get the nod over the green-white-black Jets, and the Patriots are the beneficiary here.

Entering Week 11, the AFC East is the only division in the league with every team over .500. With every team in playoff contention and in the thick of the divisional race, the stakes in this one are clear. Moreover, the 5-4 Patriots have a chance to leapfrog the 6-3 Jets in the standings (while holding the inside track on the tie breaker).

*And it's hard to argue with the results: the Jets are 6-3 and have a real shot at playoff football.

The Pick: Patriots -3.5 (-105)

Some housekeeping before we jump into Lions at Giants. I have a humble request: no more white practice pants in NFL uniforms. Come on, Lions. Just throw a stripe on there. This doesn't have to be hard. As for the Giants, I continue to miss the gray pants. But they continue to look sharp week in and week out. And they're the pick here.

The Giants are sitting pretty at 7-2, and the Lions are winners of two straight. It's nice to see Detroit getting their act together. There are few people in football easier to root for than Dan Campbell. But you can say the same about Brian Daboll. And he's shown throughout the season that he is already one of the best coaches in the game. I like him and his Giants to keep the magic going at home.

The Pick: Giants -3 (-110)

Some people like these Broncos pseudo throwback/color rush uniforms. I don't get it. I cannot stand them. No half measures. And slapping a throwback logo on the navy helmet with an orange unitard is the definition of a half measure. As such, the Raiders on the road get the nod.

In a battle between colossal AFC West disappointments, someone has to win, right?*

*Tie incoming.

The Pick: Raiders +3 (-115)

NOTE - The Raiders have yet to unveil their choice of jersey.

UPDATE - White jersey with black numbers confirmed for the Raiders.

Cowboys at Vikings may just be the game of the day, and the uniform matchup is not too shabby either. The Vikings are in the Wasted Talent tier for a reason, but the color palette is strong and pairs well with the Cowboys primary whites - the most complementary outfit in the league (and the pick here).

How 'bout them Minnesota Vikings? 8-1 and coming off a had-to-see-it-to-believe-it victory on the road against the Bills. Feels weird to say this about an 8-1 team that just beat one of the better teams in the league, but are we sure they're good? Call me a believer for now - but tentatively at best. The Cowboys are coming off an overtime loss to the Packers where they gave up a 14-point lead. But the overall outlook for America's Team remains positive, and this fact is reflected in the line for this one. Dallas is a favorite on the road in Minnesota, and I have no qualms with the uniform gods for steering us to their side.

The Pick: Cowboys -1.5 (-110)

Triple Mismatch Club 3x Play

NOTE - The Vikings have yet to unveil their choice of uniform.

UPDATE - Purple jersey and white pants confirmed for the Vikings.

On just about any other day, the uniform matchup between the Chiefs and Chargers would be the best of the week. But today, it's an overqualified runner up instead. The classic red of the Chiefs against the league-best powder blue of the Chargers. What's not to like? The Chargers are the best dressed team in the league, so they're the choice here.

The Chiefs and Chargers have separated themselves as the top two squads in the AFC West (thanks in no small part to the ineptitude of the Raiders and Broncos). A Chiefs win here will give Kansas City the equivalent of a four game lead with the tiebreaker. So this is a major one for the Chargers - both for keeping pace in the AFC West and the AFC wildcard race. Justin Herbert has never been swept by the Chiefs in his career, and he'll need his best stuff to keep that streak alive.

The Pick: Chargers +5.5 (-110)

Triple Mismatch Club 3x Play IF the Chargers go with gold pants

NOTE - Both teams have yet to unveil their choice of pants.

UPDATE - White pants for the Chiefs and gold pants for the Chargers.

We're heading down to Mexico City for 49ers-Cardinals. And uniform matchups don't get much more lopsided than this.* No need to waste time on this one, Niners in a landslide.

The 49ers feel like they're hitting their stride at just the right time. As we head toward the home stretch of the regular season, San Francisco is poised to establish itself as alpha dog in the NFC West (and perhaps even make an outside play at the top spot in the NFC). The Cardinals have had a rocky season overall, but they're still very much alive in the NFC West. The Niners are heavy favorites in this one, but divisional battles are always a crapshoot (if that wasn't abundantly clear already).

*San Francisco is second in the Bets Dressed Power Rankings while Arizona is second to last.

The Pick: 49ers -8 (-110)

NOTE - The Cardinals have yet to unveil their choice of pants.

Worst NFL Uniform Matchup of Week 11.

A couple of Uniform Wardrobe Power Rankings basement dwellers are squaring off in Houston. No need to beat a dead horse with my thoughts about the Commanders and their dreadful road outfit. The Texans going with the blue bodysuit was likely the nail in the coffin of this one landing as worst of the week. The red helmet would at least offer some contrast.

The Commanders are the worst dressed team in football, but they sure can be fun to watch - especially with Taylor Heinicke at the helm. Since taking over as the starter four weeks ago, the Commanders are 3-1. Interestingly enough for our under purposes, those four games have had an average overall total of 42 points. The Texans have scored the fourth fewest points in the NFL, so adding them to the mix makes me like our chances of getting under 41.5 here.

The Pick: Under 41.5 (-105)

NOTE - The Commanders have yet to unveil their choice of pants.

UPDATE - Burgundy pants for the Commanders.

Best NFL Uniform Matchup of Week 11.

I'm just gonna come out and say it: this uniform matchup rules.* If this was a Thursday Night battle, I'd name it the Yin and Yang Bowl. The icy white Bengals against the blackout Steelers. The introduction of the White Bengal outfit earlier this year was one of the highlights of the uniform season. And it's a gift from the uniform gods we get to see it again. I'm always calling for teams to answer exciting uniform decisions from their opponents.** So major kudos to the Steelers for meeting the moment and raising the stakes with the excellent color rush ensemble. I don't usually like the bodysuit look, but the Steelers already feature black as their primary jersey color. And the yellow pants stripe offers some sharp contrast. I'm champing at the bit to see this one on the screen.

AFC North battles always tend to be competitive, and this one should be no different. Cincinnati left a win on the table when these teams met earlier in the season (ultimately losing in overtime). The Bengals are still without Ja'Marr Chase and certainly miss the young superstar. But the Bengals are still scoring aplenty (as are their opponents). In their last four games, the average overall total is 54 points. The Steelers have not been as prolific in the points department, but these teams cleared the total in their first meeting. And I like their chances to clear 39.5 here (especially with the uniform gods on our side).

*For those advocating for Chiefs-Chargers as best of the week, I hear you. And I get it. And I don't even disagree. But scarcity has to count for something. We get Chiefs at Chargers once a year. This is the first time we're getting this iteration of Bengals at Steelers. And it's absolutely going to jump off the screen.

**The Dolphins not wearing the green throwbacks against the white tigers was the missed opportunity uniform moment of the decade.

The Pick: Over 39.5 (-110)

The Gridiron Uniform Database.

The uniform graphics you see here are courtesy of The Gridiron Uniform Database. If you’ve never paid their site a visit, stop what you’re doing right now and check it out. It is my favorite site on the Internet and an invaluable resource to uniform nerds and casual fans alike. This is especially the case during the season. I check the site multiple times a day to keep tabs on who’s wearing what.

Drop me a line.

You can always find me on Twitter at NFL Fashion Advice (@fashion_nfl) or via email at [email protected]. Come talk uniforms and all things football, and let me know what you think of the newsletter.

Coming Attractions.

Tune in on Thursday for the Bets Dressed Thanksgiving Extravaganza. Three games and three uniform matchups to dive into.

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